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Mathematical modeling of COVID-19 spreading with asymptomatic infected and interacting peoples

Author/s
Serhani M.,
Labbardi H.
Year
Language
English
Document Type
Article
Source Title
Journal of Applied Mathematics and Computing
Publisher
Springer

Description

In this article we propose a modified compartmental model describing the transmission of COVID-19 in Morocco. It takes account on the asymptomatic people and the strategies involving hospital isolation of the confirmed infected person, quarantine of people contacting them, and home containment of all population to restrict mobility. We establish a relationship between the containment control coefficient c and the basic reproduction number R. Different scenarios are tested with different values of c, for which the stability of a Disease Free Equilibrium point is correlated with the condition linking R and c. A worst scenario in which the containment is not respected in the same way during the period of confinement leads to several rebound in the evolution of the pandemic. It is shown that home containment, if it is strictly respected, played a crucial role in controlling the disease spreading. © 2020, Korean Society for Informatics and Computational Applied Mathematics.

Migration angle
Region/Country (by coverage)
Index Keywords

Cell proliferation; Basic reproduction number; Compartmental model; Containment control; Disease spreading; Disease-free equilibrium; Disease control