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Mobility-guided modeling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Metro Manila

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a novel respiratory disease first identified in Wuhan, China, that is caused by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). To better understand the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic in the Philippines, we have used real-time mobility data to modify the DELPHI epidemiological model recently developed at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and to simulate the pandemic in Metro Manila.