Assessment of Infection Risk Based on Travel Behavior Analysis -Example of Jiangsu Province Travel during COVID-19 [基于出行行为模型的出行感染风险评估-以新冠肺炎疫情期间江苏省地区为例]

Cao Q.,
Ren G.,
Li D.-W.,
Zhu M.-Y.,
Ma J.-F.,
Song J.-H.,
Zhu Y.-L.,
He Y.-H.
Document Type
Source Title
Jiaotong Yunshu Xitong Gongcheng Yu Xinxi/Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology
Science Press


In order to correctly evaluate the travel infection risks during the COVID-19 pandemic, this study proposed an infection risk assessment model based on the travel behavior analysis. Using the epidemiological survey data and online questionnaire data in Jiangsu, China this study developed and calibrated the travel behavior models for virus carriers and ordinary individuals. The travel behaviors of virus carriers and ordinary individuals were also compared. The infection risks were evaluated for different travel modes and travel activities. The results indicate that: (1) implementing strict traffic control measures significantly reduces the infection risk; (2) the infection risk of medical treatment travel activities is significantly higher than other travel activities; (3) business or leisure travel activities expose to a higher infection risk in the early stages of the pandemic; (4) the risk of non-motor vehicle travel is relatively low. Copyright © 2020 by Science Press.

Migration angle
Region/Country (by coverage)
Index Keywords

Electronic assessment; Leisure industry; Motor transportation; Surveys; Systems engineering; Tourism industry; Traffic control; Viruses; Control measures; Jiangsu province; Medical treatment; Motor vehicle; Online questionnaire; Risk assessment models; Travel activities; Travel behaviors; Risk assessment